Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.3%). Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Soderberg 49.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 53.4%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 78.6%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 68.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Howden
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Howden
Soderberg
Last 5: Howden 4-1 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Soderberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
50.5% (755)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
55.0% (80)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
43.8% (235)
-2.4%
On power play, Howden has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Howden
Soderberg
Home
52.0% (304)
50.1% (555)
Away
45.9% (425)
48.5% (515)
By Period
Howden
Soderberg
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.1%
45.5%
P3
49.0%
52.2%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 16, 2018 | OT | 01:36 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Brett Howden |