Carl Soderberg vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.7%). Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs McDavid 47.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 68.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Soderberg
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Soderberg
McDavid
Last 10: Soderberg 7-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
4
Soderberg
McDavid
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
7
2
Soderberg
McDavid
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
47.7% (8,358)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
52.0% (371)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
43.4% (279)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Soderberg
McDavid
Home
50.2% (2,703)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Soderberg
McDavid
P1
47.4%
46.5%
P2
48.2%
48.7%
P3
48.1%
48.3%
OT
46.4%
40.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |