Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.3%). Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Lazar 48.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 59.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 52.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Soderberg
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Soderberg
Lazar
Last 7: Soderberg 4-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Lazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
48.8% (242)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
83.3% (6)
-30.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
24.0% (25)
+76.0%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +76.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Soderberg is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Soderberg shoots left. Lazar is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Lazar
Home
51.0% (406)
48.5% (132)
Away
45.0% (360)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Soderberg
Lazar
P1
44.1%
47.0%
P2
49.4%
44.0%
P3
51.5%
52.9%
OT
47.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |