Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 28-17 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.4%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 71.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Soderberg
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
17
(45 meetings)
28
17
Soderberg
Stepan
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
8
Soderberg
Stepan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
16
2
Soderberg
Stepan
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
7
Soderberg
Stepan
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
46.5% (10,204)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
48.8% (1,593)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
44.2% (1,368)
-3.4%
On power play, Soderberg has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Stepan
Home
50.2% (2,703)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Soderberg
Stepan
P1
47.4%
47.5%
P2
48.2%
45.6%
P3
48.1%
46.8%
OT
46.4%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |