Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Larkin 49.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Soderberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Soderberg
Larkin
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Soderberg
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
0
Soderberg
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Soderberg
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
49.5% (562)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
51.5% (134)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
41.2% (34)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Larkin
Home
53.2% (190)
48.5% (388)
Away
49.8% (201)
50.6% (342)
By Period
Soderberg
Larkin
P1
48.6%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
46.9%
P3
51.0%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |