Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 77.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 80.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 75.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Soderberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Soderberg
Larkin
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
11
Soderberg
Larkin
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
9
1
Soderberg
Larkin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
8
Soderberg
Larkin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
51.7% (9,019)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
58.5% (2,125)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
50.2% (1,122)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Larkin
Home
50.2% (2,703)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Soderberg
Larkin
P1
47.4%
52.7%
P2
48.2%
53.1%
P3
48.1%
52.1%
OT
46.4%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |