Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Nielsen 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 55.8%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 87.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Soderberg
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Soderberg
Nielsen
Last 6: Soderberg 5-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Soderberg
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
49.7% (759)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
48.1% (106)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
37.9% (58)
+5.9%
On power play, Soderberg has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Nielsen
Home
50.1% (555)
49.8% (422)
Away
48.5% (515)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Soderberg
Nielsen
P1
49.9%
48.8%
P2
45.5%
48.7%
P3
52.2%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |