Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Hughes 38.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 62.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 94.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 92.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Soderberg
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Soderberg
Hughes
Last 8: Soderberg 6-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
35.6% (362)
+9.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
38.5% (91)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
33.3% (9)
-5.5%
On power play, Soderberg has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Hughes
Home
44.4% (248)
37.6% (255)
Away
46.1% (293)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Soderberg
Hughes
P1
44.0%
28.5%
P2
49.2%
39.2%
P3
42.5%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |