Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 60.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 97.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 92.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Soderberg
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Soderberg
Hughes
Last 8: Soderberg 6-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
36.0% (2,887)
+12.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
38.8% (224)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
31.0% (42)
+9.8%
On power play, Soderberg has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Hughes
Home
50.2% (2,703)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Soderberg
Hughes
P1
47.4%
36.9%
P2
48.2%
33.6%
P3
48.1%
38.1%
OT
46.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |