Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Carter 54.6% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 89.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 72.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Soderberg
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Carter
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Soderberg
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Soderberg
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
53.1% (307)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
62.5% (64)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
70.4% (27)
-30.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Soderberg is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Soderberg shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Carter
Home
50.2% (484)
58.9% (285)
Away
40.0% (455)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Soderberg
Carter
P1
45.5%
54.9%
P2
44.3%
57.5%
P3
45.8%
56.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |