Carl Soderberg vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 80.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Soderberg 6-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
49.1% (3,840)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
51.1% (350)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
45.7% (35)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.2% (2,703)
49.7% (2,194)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
48.6% (2,031)
By Period
Soderberg
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.4%
49.8%
P2
48.2%
50.5%
P3
48.1%
47.2%
OT
46.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |