Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 69.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 93.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 80.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Soderberg
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Soderberg
Pavelski
Last 10: Soderberg 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
8
Soderberg
Pavelski
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
2
Soderberg
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Soderberg
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
53.2% (690)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
61.5% (174)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
55.3% (47)
-15.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Soderberg is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Soderberg shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Pavelski
Home
50.2% (484)
56.1% (421)
Away
40.0% (455)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Soderberg
Pavelski
P1
45.5%
57.1%
P2
44.3%
55.8%
P3
45.8%
52.5%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |