Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 83.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 57.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 60.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Soderberg
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Soderberg
Thornton
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
5
1
Soderberg
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
6
Soderberg
Thornton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.5% (6,640)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
56.7% (427)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Thornton
Home
50.2% (2,703)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Soderberg
Thornton
P1
47.4%
55.0%
P2
48.2%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.4%
OT
46.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |