Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Staal 55.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Soderberg
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Soderberg
Staal
Last 6: Soderberg 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Soderberg
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
56.6% (769)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
60.2% (98)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
27.8% (18)
+72.2%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +72.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Soderberg is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Soderberg shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Staal
Home
51.0% (406)
57.8% (510)
Away
45.0% (360)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Soderberg
Staal
P1
44.1%
55.1%
P2
49.4%
56.8%
P3
51.5%
57.1%
OT
47.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |