Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Staal 56.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 92.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 50.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Soderberg
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Soderberg
Staal
Last 8: Soderberg 5-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Soderberg
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
55.9% (1,016)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
68.0% (150)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
50.6% (172)
-10.7%
On power play, Staal has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Soderberg shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Staal
Home
50.2% (484)
57.2% (684)
Away
40.0% (455)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Soderberg
Staal
P1
45.5%
53.0%
P2
44.3%
58.2%
P3
45.8%
58.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |