Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Hayes 49.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 68.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Soderberg
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Soderberg
Hayes
Last 6: Soderberg 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Soderberg
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Soderberg
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
50.5% (764)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
53.3% (90)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
38.6% (127)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Hayes
Home
50.1% (555)
49.0% (531)
Away
48.5% (515)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Soderberg
Hayes
P1
49.9%
52.3%
P2
45.5%
45.8%
P3
52.2%
50.2%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | OT | 00:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |