Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Goc 52.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 63.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 65.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Soderberg
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Soderberg
Goc
Last 8: Soderberg 2-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Soderberg
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Soderberg
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.0% (3,301)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
58.0% (314)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
47.4% (728)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Goc
Home
50.2% (2,703)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Soderberg
Goc
P1
47.4%
51.9%
P2
48.2%
53.1%
P3
48.1%
52.4%
OT
46.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |