Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Barzal 42.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 73.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 95.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 93.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Soderberg
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Soderberg
Barzal
Last 9: Soderberg 7-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
1
Soderberg
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
41.9% (516)
+8.6%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
40.0% (60)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
25.0% (4)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Soderberg is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Soderberg shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Barzal
Home
50.1% (555)
46.9% (303)
Away
48.5% (515)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Soderberg
Barzal
P1
49.9%
39.9%
P2
45.5%
45.1%
P3
52.2%
39.9%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |