Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 45.7% vs Hendricks 49.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 59.4%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.6%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 63.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Soderberg
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Soderberg
Hendricks
Last 8: Soderberg 2-6 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Soderberg
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
4
Soderberg
Hendricks
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (682)
50.3% (326)
-3.4%
Power Play
43.8% (64)
60.0% (5)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (193)
46.5% (127)
-6.6%
On power play, Hendricks has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Soderberg shoots left. Hendricks is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Hendricks
Home
50.2% (484)
47.1% (210)
Away
40.0% (455)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Soderberg
Hendricks
P1
45.5%
50.0%
P2
44.3%
49.4%
P3
45.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
42.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |