Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Foligno 46.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 51.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Soderberg
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Soderberg
Foligno
Last 7: Soderberg 3-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Soderberg
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Soderberg
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
44.0% (159)
+7.4%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
54.9% (51)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
37.3% (51)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Foligno is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Foligno
Home
53.2% (190)
43.0% (142)
Away
49.8% (201)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Soderberg
Foligno
P1
48.6%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
42.6%
P3
51.0%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |