Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 71.9%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Soderberg
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Soderberg
Foligno
Last 10: Soderberg 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
5
Soderberg
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Soderberg
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
48.3% (2,810)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
52.3% (730)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
44.0% (455)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Foligno
Home
50.2% (2,703)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Soderberg
Foligno
P1
47.4%
47.6%
P2
48.2%
50.4%
P3
48.1%
48.3%
OT
46.4%
29.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |