Carl Soderberg vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Soderberg 2-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (718)
44.3% (1,117)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
52.4% (208)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.6% (31)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Soderberg is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Soderberg shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.0% (406)
47.6% (655)
Away
45.0% (360)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Soderberg
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.1%
43.9%
P2
49.4%
46.8%
P3
51.5%
47.0%
OT
47.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | OT | 01:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |