Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 91.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Soderberg
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
7
1
Soderberg
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
57.1% (1,367)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
59.4% (286)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
52.5% (257)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Home
50.1% (555)
59.2% (936)
Away
48.5% (515)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Soderberg
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
57.3%
P2
45.5%
57.5%
P3
52.2%
55.0%
OT
55.6%
71.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |