Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 35-23 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 78.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 66.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Soderberg
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
35
(58 meetings)
23
35
Soderberg
Seguin
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
15
Soderberg
Seguin
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
10
Soderberg
Seguin
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
10
Soderberg
Seguin
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
55.9% (810)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
49.3% (762)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Seguin
Home
50.2% (2,703)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Soderberg
Seguin
P1
47.4%
52.8%
P2
48.2%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.7%
OT
46.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |