Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMillan wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 46.7% vs Helm 50.7% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 59.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 59.2%
Neutral zone
McMillan 53.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McMillan
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMillan
Helm
Last 5: McMillan 2-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
1
McMillan
Helm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
2
McMillan
Helm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMillan
1
0
McMillan
Helm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (36)
51.1% (2,790)
-12.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.7% (148)
-54.7%
On power play, Helm has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McMillan is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (29).
McMillan shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Home / Away
McMillan
Helm
Home
62.5% (8)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
31.0% (29)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
McMillan
Helm
P1
14.3%
49.5%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
41.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
22.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
37.8%▬
37.8%
37.8%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Carson McMillan |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Carson McMillan |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Darren Helm |