Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 48.7% vs MacKenzie 50.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 79.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 60.1%
Neutral zone
Rowney 60.8%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Rowney
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rowney
MacKenzie
Last 7: Rowney 1-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Rowney
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Rowney
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Rowney
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
52.5% (564)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
41.7% (199)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Rowney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Rowney shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Rowney
MacKenzie
Home
46.2% (104)
52.7% (404)
Away
50.0% (94)
47.0% (368)
By Period
Rowney
MacKenzie
P1
46.4%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
50.0%
P3
50.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
48.0%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |