Carter Rowney vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rowney 70.8%
Defensive zone
Rowney 72.2%
Neutral zone
Rowney 67.0%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Rowney
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Rowney
MacKenzie
Last 10: Rowney 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Rowney
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Rowney
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
7
Rowney
MacKenzie
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
54.9% (3,660)
-5.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
55.9% (102)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
46.7% (1,158)
+1.9%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Rowney
MacKenzie
Home
50.4% (577)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
47.9% (560)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Rowney
MacKenzie
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
47.9%
53.0%
P3
49.3%
54.0%
OT
60.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |