Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Ryan 55.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Rowney leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 87.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 85.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Rowney
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Rowney
Ryan
Last 10: Rowney 7-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
2
Rowney
Ryan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
56.6% (4,102)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.2% (342)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
47.8% (649)
+0.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Rowney
Ryan
Home
50.4% (577)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
47.9% (560)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Rowney
Ryan
P1
50.1%
55.1%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
49.3%
56.0%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |