Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Brassard 48.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 57.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 59.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Rowney
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rowney
Brassard
Last 5: Rowney 2-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Rowney
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
48.7% (517)
+1.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
39.0% (59)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
66.7% (12)
-21.0%
On power play, Rowney has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Brassard is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Rowney
Brassard
Home
51.0% (143)
50.9% (348)
Away
48.0% (204)
44.2% (240)
By Period
Rowney
Brassard
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
47.7%
47.3%
P3
50.9%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |