Carter Rowney vs Derick Brassard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Brassard 49.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 73.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 68.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 50.8%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Rowney
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rowney
Brassard
Last 7: Rowney 4-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
0
Rowney
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Rowney
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
48.7% (8,464)
+0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.3% (1,260)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
50.3% (179)
-1.7%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Home / Away
Rowney
Brassard
Home
50.4% (577)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
47.9% (560)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Rowney
Brassard
P1
50.1%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
49.3%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |