Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rowney wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs McCann 40.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 83.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 56.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 66.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Rowney
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rowney
McCann
Last 6: Rowney 2-4 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Rowney
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Rowney
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
38.5% (522)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
20.0% (10)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Rowney is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Rowney shoots right. McCann is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Rowney
McCann
Home
55.3% (152)
39.3% (285)
Away
50.6% (158)
37.7% (265)
By Period
Rowney
McCann
P1
54.1%
42.0%
P2
49.6%
34.0%
P3
54.3%
40.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |