Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs McCann 43.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 84.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 68.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Rowney
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rowney
McCann
Last 10: Rowney 4-6 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
3
Rowney
McCann
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
3
Rowney
McCann
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
43.1% (3,178)
+6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
40.0% (260)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
42.2% (173)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Rowney
McCann
Home
50.4% (577)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
47.9% (560)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Rowney
McCann
P1
50.1%
44.4%
P2
47.9%
41.7%
P3
49.3%
42.7%
OT
60.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |