Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.5%). Look for Rowney on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 59.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 57.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 52.3%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Rowney
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rowney
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
50.5% (4,382)
-1.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
47.7% (153)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
43.8% (714)
+4.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Rowney
Larsson
Home
50.4% (577)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
47.9% (560)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Rowney
Larsson
P1
50.1%
51.6%
P2
47.9%
49.7%
P3
49.3%
47.2%
OT
60.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |