Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Hayes 47.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.2%
Defensive zone
Rowney 60.6%
Neutral zone
Rowney 53.2%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Rowney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rowney
Hayes
Last 7: Rowney 4-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Rowney
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
2
Rowney
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
47.6% (6,698)
+1.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.7% (702)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
45.4% (696)
+3.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Rowney
Hayes
Home
50.4% (577)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.9% (560)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Rowney
Hayes
P1
50.1%
47.5%
P2
47.9%
47.7%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
OT
60.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |