Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Rowney
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
42.7% (478)
+3.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (98)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.2% (31)
-28.5%
On power play, Hayes has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Rowney shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Rowney
Hayes
Home
46.5% (114)
43.5% (232)
Away
41.2% (51)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Rowney
Hayes
P1
50.0%
40.1%
P2
45.1%
44.8%
P3
39.6%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%