Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.0%
Defensive zone
Rowney 63.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Rowney
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Rowney
Stastny
Last 10: Rowney 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Rowney
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
0
Rowney
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.1% (1,994)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Rowney
Stastny
Home
50.4% (577)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.9% (560)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Rowney
Stastny
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
49.3%
53.5%
OT
60.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |