Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.4%
Defensive zone
Rowney 64.7%
Neutral zone
Rowney 52.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Rowney
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Rowney
O'Reilly
Last 10: Rowney 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
8
Rowney
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
1
Rowney
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
1
Rowney
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
58.8% (3,445)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
51.4% (2,811)
-2.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Rowney
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (577)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.9% (560)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Rowney
O'Reilly
P1
50.1%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
57.0%
P3
49.3%
55.1%
OT
60.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |