Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs Stamkos 52.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 78.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 79.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 52.3%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Rowney
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Rowney
Stamkos
Last 7: Rowney 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Rowney
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
0
Rowney
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Rowney
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
51.4% (725)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
61.4% (44)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rowney is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Rowney shoots right. Stamkos is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Rowney
Stamkos
Home
55.3% (152)
53.3% (426)
Away
50.6% (158)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Rowney
Stamkos
P1
54.1%
56.6%
P2
49.6%
48.2%
P3
54.3%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |