Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Rowney wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.0%
Defensive zone
Rowney 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.7%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Rowney
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
49.3% (789)
-3.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.9% (181)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
54.1% (98)
-37.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rowney is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Rowney shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Rowney
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (114)
52.0% (512)
Away
41.2% (51)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Rowney
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
42.1%
P2
45.1%
56.4%
P3
39.6%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%