Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Frederic 45.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 51.7%
Defensive zone
Rowney 53.4%
Neutral zone
Frederic 58.6%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Rowney
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rowney
Frederic
Last 5: Rowney 1-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Rowney
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
3
Rowney
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
39.8% (88)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (1)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Rowney shoots right. Frederic is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Rowney
Frederic
Home
46.5% (114)
37.8% (45)
Away
41.2% (51)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Rowney
Frederic
P1
50.0%
32.4%
P2
45.1%
45.9%
P3
39.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |