Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Coyle 47.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 91.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 80.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Cizikas
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Coyle
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Cizikas
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
46.6% (562)
+8.6%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
50.7% (69)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
42.6% (68)
+6.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cizikas is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Cizikas shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Coyle
Home
55.5% (353)
44.3% (332)
Away
51.3% (335)
48.8% (367)
By Period
Cizikas
Coyle
P1
53.4%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
55.8%
45.7%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |