Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Coyle 51.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 70.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Cizikas
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cizikas
Coyle
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Cizikas
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Coyle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
53.0% (1,046)
+0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.6% (144)
+42.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
43.6% (287)
+8.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Coyle
Home
58.6% (307)
54.5% (719)
Away
48.7% (339)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Cizikas
Coyle
P1
56.7%
51.1%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
53.8%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |