Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Giroux 60.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 77.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 78.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Cizikas
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Giroux
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Cizikas
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
3
Cizikas
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
60.3% (395)
-5.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
67.3% (107)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
65.4% (153)
-17.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Giroux
Home
53.3% (270)
65.9% (337)
Away
54.8% (299)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Cizikas
Giroux
P1
57.2%
62.1%
P2
56.3%
64.5%
P3
49.5%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |