Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Lazar 49.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 57.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Cizikas
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Cizikas
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.3% (232)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
37.8% (45)
+7.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Lazar
Home
56.6% (484)
43.5% (131)
Away
54.5% (477)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Cizikas
Lazar
P1
57.2%
53.8%
P2
54.7%
50.5%
P3
54.8%
41.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |