Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Grant 54.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 59.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Cizikas
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Grant
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
2
Cizikas
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
56.5% (308)
-0.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
65.3% (49)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
48.5% (136)
-7.9%
On power play, Grant has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Grant
Home
55.0% (473)
60.3% (257)
Away
51.7% (466)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Cizikas
Grant
P1
54.9%
54.7%
P2
50.8%
54.0%
P3
54.5%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |