Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Strome 48.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 81.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Cizikas
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cizikas
Strome
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Cizikas
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
48.3% (894)
+8.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
50.5% (182)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
66.7% (6)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Strome
Home
55.0% (473)
46.4% (513)
Away
51.7% (466)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Cizikas
Strome
P1
54.9%
44.9%
P2
50.8%
50.8%
P3
54.5%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2023 | OT | 01:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |