Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Miller 54.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 70.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cizikas
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cizikas
Miller
Last 7: Cizikas 3-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Cizikas
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
55.7% (589)
+0.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
60.9% (138)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
47.2% (159)
-6.6%
On power play, Miller has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Miller
Home
55.0% (473)
56.1% (440)
Away
51.7% (466)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Cizikas
Miller
P1
54.9%
52.3%
P2
50.8%
54.7%
P3
54.5%
57.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |