Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Finley 48.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 54.8%
Defensive zone
Finley 66.0%
Neutral zone
Finley 55.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Cizikas
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
47.3% (239)
+7.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
57.7% (26)
-10.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Finley
Home
53.3% (270)
50.0% (162)
Away
54.8% (299)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Cizikas
Finley
P1
57.2%
53.2%
P2
56.3%
44.6%
P3
49.5%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jack Finley |