Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Finley 49.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 65.8%
Neutral zone
Finley 52.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Cizikas
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
3
Cizikas
Finley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
47.5% (244)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
50.0% (14)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
57.7% (26)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Finley
Home
53.7% (5,498)
50.0% (162)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
46.7% (122)
By Period
Cizikas
Finley
P1
53.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
44.6%
P3
51.7%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jack Finley |