Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 51.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Cizikas
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Cizikas
Evans
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
3
Cizikas
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,934)
53.8% (3,695)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
60.0% (70)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
47.1% (1,222)
-2.7%
On power play, Evans has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Evans
Home
53.6% (5,486)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Cizikas
Evans
P1
52.9%
54.0%
P2
51.0%
50.9%
P3
51.7%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
51.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |